北大经院工作坊第892场
Pro-Manufacturing Land Policies of Competing Local Governments: A Quantitative Analysis of China
发展与公共财政工作坊
主讲人：奚锡灿（复旦大学经济学院长聘副教授）
主持老师：
（北大经院）刘冲、吴群锋、曹光宇
（北大国发院）李力行、席天扬、徐化愚、于航、王轩、易君健
时间：2024年5月22日（周三）14:00-15:30
地点：北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园245教室
主讲人简介：
奚锡灿，复旦大学经济学院长聘副教授，研究领域为宏观经济学、发展经济学和环境经济学。研究论文曾发表于PNAS、AEJ: Macro、JEDC、CJE、《经济研究》、《管理世界》和《世界经济》等国内外学术期刊。
摘要：
Local government policies can correct market inefficiencies but are also shaped by spatial political economy considerations. We study the rationale and impact of local land policies in China, where local governments have a de facto monopoly in regional urban land markets and exhibit a pronounced pro-manufacturing land allocation across sectors. We develop a multi-sector quantitative spatial equilibrium model where local governments compete non-cooperatively through local land policies. Calibrating and simulating the model, we find that the observed policies are, on average, comparable to the Nash policy when local governments maximize manufacturing output. This result reveals a manufacturing bias in the observed land policies. When local governments instead prioritize maximizing local real income per capita, we find that the land allocation to manufacturing still considerably exceeds that in a competitive market. However, this pro-manufacturing policy results in higher local real income per capita across regions. Finally, when considering the goal of maximizing national average real income per capita, we find that the non-cooperative outcome is nearly as effective as the cooperative equilibrium.
北大经院工作坊第893场
Strategic Relations in Acyclic Conflict Networks
微观理论经济学工作坊
主讲人：李健（爱荷华州立大学副教授）
主持老师：
（北大经院）吴泽南、石凡奇
（北大国发院）胡岠
参与老师：
（北大经院）胡涛
（北大国发院）汪浩、邢亦青
（北大光华）翁翕、刘烁
时间：2024年5月23日（周四）10:30-12:00
地点：北京大学经济学院302会议室
主讲人简介：
Dr. Li is an associate professor in economics at Iowa State University. Her research interests are decision theory, dynamic decision and learning, information design, and social network. Her work has been published in academic journals such as Journal of Economic Theory, Theoretical Economics, and Management Science.
摘要：
This paper explores the comparative statics results in a model focused on the nexus of bilateral conflicts within a network. By analyzing a network structure characterized by acyclicity, we examine the propagation of shocks originating from a battle or a player to the rest of the network. Our findings uncover a non-monotone yet predictable pattern of shock propagation, which hinges on the relative positions for pairs of contestants in successive battles along the path of shock propagation. Our study reveals the intricate strategic relationships among agents within the network, shedding light on the dynamics of friend-foe identification within a complex conflict structure. In contrast to traditional approaches reliant on closed-form solutions of equilibrium, our method offers a novel illustration of the non-monotone comparative statics results.
北大经院工作坊第894场
Revisiting Skinner: Counting Counties in Song China
经济史工作坊
主讲人：SNG Tuan Hwee（孙传炜，新加坡国立大学副教授）
主持老师：（北大经院）赵一泠、Mark Hup
参与老师：
（北大经院）郝煜、管汉晖、周建波
（北大光华）颜色、李波
时间：2024年5月23日（周四）12:00-13:30
地点：北京大学经济学院302会议室
主讲人简介：
SNG Tuan Hwee (孙传炜) is presently Associate Professor of Economics at National University of Singapore (2012–). He is interested in economic history and political economy and specializes in comparative institutional analysis, with a focus on China and Japan. Tuan Hwee earned his PhD from Northwestern University. He was post-doctoral fellow at the Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance, Princeton University in 2011–12 and fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University in 2020–21.
摘要：
We revisit a long-held consensus that the number of county-level units in imperial China remained stable and consistently hovered around 1,250 for two millennia. We argue that this consensus, traceable to G. W. Skinner’s influential introductory chapter in The City in Late Imperial China, focuses excessively on the county (xian), which existed throughout the imperial period, and overlooks other dynasty-specific types of field administration. During the Northern Song dynasty (960–1127), alongside the predominantly rural counties, the state established various alternative types of field administration, most notably the townships (zhen), which administered urban households. Approximately 30% of the 1,900 townships existing in the year 1084 were staffed by centrally-appointed bureaucrats. These officials collected taxes, provided basic public services, interacted with the population daily, and were directly accountable to the prefect. Unlike later dynasties, the Song state differentiated between urban and rural settlements administratively, and its urban coverage was unsurpassed until the modern age.
北大经院工作坊第895场
The economics of travel bubbles: why they did not work?
（旅行泡沫经济学：为什么他们不起作用）
宏观经济学工作坊
主讲人：王姣（Research Fellow in University of Melbourne）
主持老师：（北大经院）韩晗
参与老师：
（北大国发院）赵波、余昌华、李明浩
（北大经院）陈仪、李博、李伦
时间：2024年5月24日（周五）10:00-11:30
地点：北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园131教室
主讲人简介：
Dr. Jiao Wang is currently working as Research Fellow in the macro team at Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, Faculty of Business and Economics, The University of Melbourne. She obtained her Ph.D. degree at the Australian National University (ANU) in December 2017. She completed her Master's degree in International and Development Economics at ANU and received the Helen Hughes Master Degree Prize for achieving the highest grades in class (top 1 out of 200). Dr Wang graduated from Peking University with B.A. in Economics and B.S. in Physics, from China Center for Economic Research (CCER) and Department of Physics, respectively. Her fields of research are Monetary Economics, Open Economy Macroeconomics and Chinese Economy. Dr Wang has published papers in Journal of International Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics, and Journal of Money, Credit and Banking。
摘要：
We use a multi-region Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Macroeconomic (SIR-Macro) model to evaluate cooperative cross-border travel arrangements during a pandemic, sometimes known as travel bubbles, from a game theory perspective. The Pareto optimal emphasizes domestic containment, but policymakers are always incentivized not to commit to cooperation. An attempt to deviate from the cooperative policies results in a negative externality in the partner region. This non-cooperative outcome features long-run travel restrictions with fewer economic or health benefits. The model is then applied to assess the Singapore-Hong Kong travel bubble, which was eventually aborted. The travel bubble would have delivered the highest welfare, but without it, Singapore and Hong Kong would still achieve smaller welfare gains with effective domestic containments. We also find that pre-departure tests would not improve welfare from cooperation and that quick vaccination programs would be essential to bring the economies back to normal.
北大经院工作坊第896场
The Rise of China and the Global Production of Scientific Knowledge
发展与公共财政工作坊
主讲人：Hyejin Ku（Associate Professor at University College London）
参与老师：
（北大经院）刘冲、吴群锋、曹光宇
（北大国发院）李力行、席天扬、徐化愚、于航、王轩、易君健
时间：2024年5月24日（周五）11:30-13:00
地点：北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园249教室
主讲人简介：
Hyejin Ku is Associate Professor of Economics at University College London and Deputy Director of the Centre for Research and Analysis of Migration (CReAM). She received her PhD in Economics from Cornell University, USA. She is affiliated with the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR), the Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) and the ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin Institute for the Economy and the Future of Work (RFBerlin). Her research interests are in labour economics and applied microeconomics.
摘要：
We study China’s rapid rise as a new scientific superpower and its impact on the world’s top research universities over the period 1996-2016, asking what happens to science when a new dominant player enters the field. In a novel research design that can be applied to multiple scientific fields in a common framework, we expose different universities in each field to different degrees of the China shock, based on the topic composition of their initial publications together with the topic-specific growth of China’s research capacity over time. We find that net spillovers from China vary considerably across fields, e.g. significantly positive in chemistry but negative and statistically insignificant in mathematics. To explain the heterogeneous net effects, we explore competition, collaboration and complementarity as possible channels and assess their relative importance in different scientific fields.
北大经院工作坊第897场
Weathering the Compliance Drought: Impact of Climate Change on Citizen-State Conflict in Africa
生态、环境与气候变化经济学工作坊
主讲人：Lin Yang，Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)
主持老师：（北大经院）季曦
时间：2024年5月24日（周五）10:00-12:00
地点：北京大学国家发展研究院承泽园249教室
主讲人简介：
Lin Yang is an Assistant Professor of Urban Governance and Design at the Society Hub of Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou). She received her Ph.D. in Applied Economics from Cornell University in May 2021. Her research focuses on environmental and urban challenges in China using high-resolution and high-frequency data. Her research has published in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Annual Review of Resource Economics, Social Science and Medicine and so on.
摘要：
This study explores the impact of climate change on citizen compliance and citizen-state conflicts in Africa. By analyzing geocoded public opinion surveys from 38 African countries spanning from 2011 to 2018, alongside fine-scale remote sensing data, we investigate the effects of weather extremes on citizens' resistance to fulfilling tax and fee obligations. Our findings indicate that weather extremes increase the likelihood of noncompliance behavior, particularly affecting vulnerable communities, such as those in rural areas, facing precarious job situations, and possessing lower levels of education. We identify two mechanisms through which climate change influences citizen compliance: firstly, by fostering a pessimistic economic prospect among citizens, leading them to anticipate future financial strains, and secondly, by exacerbating dissatisfaction with public officials' performance, leading them to withdraw financial support to the government. Furthermore, we observe significant mitigating effects of climate adaptation measures, such as piped water, in-house water sources, dams, and renewable energy transition. The paper also provides back-of-the-envelope estimations of the potential revenue losses that African countries may face due to climate-induced noncompliance, highlighting the economic consequences of climate change in developing countries.
北大经济史学名家系列讲座第203讲
宋代财政思想中的农商观念
主讲人：黄纯艳（华东师范大学历史学系教授）
时间：2024年5月24日（周五）15：00-17：00
地点：北京大学经济学院301会议室
主持人：陈皓（北京大学经济学院经济史学系博士生）
评论人：
张天虹（首都师范大学历史学院教授）
周建波（北京大学经济学院经济史学系主任、教授）
主讲人简介：
黄纯艳，华东师范大学历史学系教授，主要研究宋代财政史、宋代海洋史等，出版《宋代财政史》《宋代朝贡体系研究》《造船业视域下的宋代社会》等著作多部，兼任中国海外交通史研究会副会长、中国中外关系史学会副会长、中国经济史学会古代史专业委员会副主任等。
主办单位：
北京大学经济学院经济史学系
北京大学社会经济史研究所
北京大学外国经济学说研究中心
供稿：科研与博士后办公室
美编：薏米
责编：度量、雨禾、雨田
